Reading List

Uncertainty Analysis

Antonsson, E. K. and Otto, K. N., 1995, Imprecision in Engineering Design, ASME Journal of Mechanical Engineering, Vol. 117, No. June, pp. 25-32.

Commentary: A good review of the literature on the imprecision in design.

Schrader, Stephan, William M. Riggs and Robert P. Smith, Choice over Uncertainty and Ambiguity in Technical Problem Solving: A Framework and Propositions, Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, Vol. 10, pp. 73-99, 1993. - Abstract

Smith, Robert P., and Carolina M. Hausjah, Implications of Choice over the Level of Ambiguity in Design Problem Framing, submitted to Organization Science, revised July 1997. - Abstract

Thurston, D. L. and T. Liu, Design evaluation of multiple attributes under uncertainty. Systems Automation: Research and Applications, 1:2 (1991).

Tian, Y. Q., D. L. Thurston, and J. V. Carnahan, Incorporating end-users' attitudes towards uncertainty into an expert system. ASME J. of Mechanical Design., 116:2, 493-500 (June 1994).

Wood, K. L., Antonsson, E. K. and Beck, J. L., 1990, Representing Imprecision in Engineering Design: Comparing Fuzzy and Probability Calculus, Research in Engineering Design, Vol. 1, No. pp. 187-203.

Commentary: A comparison is made between fuzzy set and probability methods. Discloses the different natures of two types of uncertainties and the supporting methods: fuzzy sets are more appropriate for dealing with imprecision; probability is more appropriate for stochastic uncertainty.

|| Classical Decision Theories || Applications of Utility Theory to Engineering Design || Uncertainty Analysis || Theories on Decision-Based Design || Design Taxonomy || Human Thinking and Learning Process || Value || Publications Relevant to DBD from Workshop Participants ||